PROBABILITY

Probability NCERT solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 1


1.   Complete the following statements.

(i) Probability of an event E + Probability of the event 'not E'= 1
(ii) The probability of event that cannot happen is zero. Such an event is called impossible event.
(iii) The probability of an event that is certain to happen is 1. Such an event is called sure event or certain event.
(iv) The sum of the probabilities of all the elementary events of an experiment is 1.
(v) The probability of an event is greater than or equal to zero and less than or equal to 1.

Probability ncert solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 2


2.   Which of the following experiments have equally likely outcomes? Explain.

(i) A driver attempts to start a car. The car starts or does not start.

This experiment does not have equally likely outcomes. The probability of outcomes depends on the condition of car.

(ii)  A player attempts to shoot a basketball. She/he shoots or misses the shot.

This experiment does not have equally likely outcomes. The probability of outcomes depends on the skills of player.

(iii)
A trial is made to answer a true-false question. The answer is right or wrong.

This experiment has equally likely outcomes because answer is either true or false and any person would answer either true or false. The probability of giving right answer is 0.5 and also, the probability of giving wrong answer is 0.5.

(iv)

A baby is born. It is a boy or a girl.
It has equally likely outcomes. The probability that baby is going to be boy is 0.5 and the probability that baby is going to be girl is also 0.5.

Probability ncert solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 3


3.   Why is tossing a coin considered to be a fair way of deciding which team should get the ball at the beginning of a football game?

Answer:
It is because there are equal chances of winning a toss for both of the teams. The probability of winning a toss for a particular team is 50 % or 0.5.
Probability ncert solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 4


4.   Which of the following cannot be the probability of an event?
(A) 2/3       (B) -1.5       (C) 15 %          (D) 0.7

Answer is (B) because probability of happening any event is always greater than or equal to 0 and less than equal to 1.

Probability ncert solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 5


5.   If P(E)=0.05, what is the probability of 'not E'?

Solution:
We know that P(E) + P(not E)=1
 0.05+P(not E)=1
 P(not E)=1-0.05=0.95

Probability ncert solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 6


6.    A bag contains lemon flavored candies only. Malini takes out one candy without looking into the bag. What is the probability that she takes out
(i) an orange flavored candy
(ii) a lemon flavored candy

Solution:
(i)  There are no orange flavored candies in the bag. Therefore, the probability of taking out orange flavored candy is zero.
(ii) All the candies present in the bag are lemon flavored. Therefore, Malini takes out lemon flavored candy for sure which means probability of taking out lemon flavored candy is 1.

Probability ncert solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 7


7.    It is given that in a group of 3 students, the probability of 2 students not having the same birthday is 0.992. What is the probability that the 2 students have the same birthday?

Solution:
Let E be the event that 2 students do not have the same birthday.
It is given that P(E)=0.992

We have P(E)+P(E¯¯¯)=1    {where P(E¯¯¯) is probability of not happening of event E or we can say that it is the probability of 2 students having the same birthday.}

0.992+P(E¯¯¯)=1
P(E¯¯¯)=1−0.992=0.008

Therefore, Probability of 2 students having the same birthday=0.008

Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 8


8.   A bag contains 3 red balls and 5 black balls. A ball is drawn at random from the bag. What is the probability that the ball drawn is
(i) red?   (ii) not red?

Solution:
(i)
Let E be the event of drawing a red ball from the bag.
The number of possible outcomes favorable to E=3 because there are 3 red balls.
Number of all possible outcomes of experiment =3+5=8

Therefore, P(E)= Number of outcomes favorable to E/Number of all possible outcomes of experiment =38

It means that Probability of drawing a red ball =P(E)=3/8

(ii)
Continuing from part (i)
We know that P(E)+P(E¯¯¯)=1          {where P(E¯¯¯) is probability of not happening of event E. In other words it is the probability of not drawing a red ball}
3/8+P(E¯¯¯)=1
P(E¯¯¯)=1−3/8=5/8

Therefore, Probability of not drawing a Red ball =P(E¯¯¯)=5/8

Probability ncert solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 9

9.   A box contains 5 red marbles, 8 white marbles, and 4 green marbles. One marble is taken out of the box at random. What is the probability that the marble taken out will be
(i) red?   (ii) white?   (iii) not green?

Solution
(i)
Let E be the Event that selected marble is red.

Number of possible outcomes favorable to event E=5   {Because there are 5 red marbles}
Total number of possible outcomes=5+8+4=17   {Total number of balls}

Probability that the selected marble is red=(Number of outcomes favorable to Event E)/Total number of possible outcomes=5/17

(ii)
Let E1 be the event that selected marble is white.
Number of possible outcomes favorable to event E1=8   {Because there are 8 white marbles}
Total number of possible outcomes=5+8+4=17   {Total number of balls}

Probability that the selected marble is white=(Number of outcomes favorable to Event E1)/Total number of possible outcomes=8/17

(iii)

Continuing from part (i) and (ii)
Let E2 be the Event that selected marble is not green.
The ball cannot be green if it is either red or white. Therefore, Event E2 will happen if there is either Event E or event E1.

The number of possible outcomes favorable to  Event E2=5+8=13  (Number of red balls + number of white balls)
Total number of possible outcomes=5+8+4=17   {Total number of balls}
 Probability that the selected marble is not green=(Number of outcomes favorable to Event E2)/Total number of possible outcomes=13/17

Probability ncert solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 10

10.  A piggy bank contains hundred 50p coins, fifty Rs 1 coins, twenty Rs 2 coins and ten Rs 5 coins. If it is equally likely that one of the coins will fall out when the bank is turned upside down, what is the probability that the coin
(i) will be a 50p coin.  (ii) will not be a Rs 5 coin
Solution:
(i)
Let E be the event that 50p coin falls out.
Number of outcomes favorable to event E =Total number of 50p coins=100
Total number of possible outcomes=total number of coins=100+50+20+10=180

P(E)=(Number of outcomes favorable to event E)/Total number of possible outcomes =100180=59

(ii)
Let F be the event that the coin falls out is not Rs 5.
Number of possible outcomes favorable to event F=Total number of coins except Rs 5 coins=100+50+20=170
Total number of possible outcomes=Number of coins=100+50+20+10=180
P(F)=Number of possible outcomes favorable to event F/Total number of possible outcomes =170/180=17/18

Probability ncert solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 11

11.  Gopi buys a fish from a shop for his aquarium. The shopkeeper takes out one fish at random from a tank containing 5 male fish and 8 female fish. What is the probability that the fish taken out is a male fish?
Solution:
Let E be the event that the fish taken out is male.
Number of possible outcomes favorable to E=Number of male fish=5
Total number of possible outcomes=total number of fish in the tank=5+8=13

P(E)=(Number of possible outcomes favorable to event E)/Total number of possible outcomes =5/13

Probability NCERT solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 12

12. A game of chance consists of spinning an arrow which comes to rest pointing at one of the numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, and these are equally likely outcomes. What is the probability that it will point at

(i) 8?
(ii) an odd number?
(iii) a number greater than 2?
(iv) a number less than 9?

Solution (i)

Let E be the event that arrow rests at number 8.
Number of outcomes favorable to Event E=1
Number of total possible outcomes=8
P(E)=(Number of outcomes favorable to Event E)/(Number of total possible outcomes)=1/8

Solution(ii)

Let F be the event that arrow rests at an odd number.
Number of outcomes favorable to Event F=4 (There are 4 odd numbers from numbers 1 to 8)
Total number of possible outcomes=8 (There are total of 8 numbers in the game).
P(F)=(Number of outcomes favorable to Event F)/(Total number of possible outcomes)=4/8=1/2

Solution (iii)

Let A be the event that arrow stops at number greater than 2.
Number of outcomes favorable to Event A=6 (There are 6 numbers greater than 2 in a game)
Total number of possible outcomes=8
P(A)=(Number of outcomes favorable to Event A)/(Total number of possible outcomes)=6/8=3/4

Solution(iv)

Let B be the event that arrow stops at number less than 9.
Each number in the game is less than 9. Therefore, Event B will certainly happen.
Therefore, P(B)=1

Probability ncert solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 13

13. A die is thrown once. Find the probability of getting
(i) a prime number (ii) a number lying between 2 and 6 (iii) an odd number


Solution (i)
 
Let E be the Event of getting a prime number with a single throw of dice.
Number of outcomes favorable to Event E=3 (There are three prime numbers from numbers 1 to 7 which are 2, 3 and 5.)
Total number of possible outcomes=6 {There are six possible outcomes in a dice.}
P(E)=(Number of outcomes favorable to Event E)/(Total number of possible outcomes)=3/6=1/2

Solution (ii)
Let F be the Event of getting a number between 2 and 6 with a single throw of dice.
Number of outcomes favorable to Event F=3 (There are 3 numbers between 2 and 6).
Total number of possible outcomes=6 {There are six possible outcomes in a dice.}
P(F)=(Number of outcomes favorable to Event F)/(Total number of possible outcomes)=3/6=1/2

Solution (iii)
Let A be the Event of getting an odd number with a single throw of dice.
Number of outcomes favorable to Event A=3 {There are 3 odd numbers from 1 to 6}
Total number of possible outcomes=6 {There are six possible outcomes in a dice}
P(A)=(Number of outcomes favorable to Event A)/Total number of possible outcomes=3/6=1/2


Probability ncert solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 14
14. A card is drawn from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards. Find the probability of getting
(i) a king of red color (ii) a face card (iii) a red face card
(iv) the jack of hearts (v) a spade (vi) the queen of diamonds



Solution (i)
Let E be the event of drawing a king of red color
Number of outcomes favorable to event E=2 {There are two red kings in a deck of 52 cards}
Total number of possible outcomes=52 {There are total of 52 cards}
P(E)=(Number of outcomes favorable to event E)/(Total number of possible outcomes)=2/52=1/26


(ii)
Let F be the event of drawing a face card.
Number of outcomes favorable to event F=12 {There are 12 face cards in a deck of 52 cards}
Total number of possible outcomes=52 {There are total of 52 cards}
P(F)=(Number of outcomes favorable to event F)/(Total number of possible outcomes)=12/52=3/13


(iii)
Let A be the event of drawing a red face card.
Number of outcomes favorable to event F=6 {There are 6 red face cards in a deck of 52 cards}
Total number of possible outcomes=52 {There are total of 52 cards}
P(A)=(Number of outcomes favorable to event A)/(Total number of possible outcomes)=6/52=3/26


(iv)
Let B be the event of drawing jack of hearts.
Number of outcomes favorable to event B=1 {There is 1 jack of hearts in a deck of 52 cards}
Total number of possible outcomes=52 {There are total of 52 cards}
P(B)=(Number of outcomes favorable to event B)/(Total number of possible outcomes)=1/52


(v)
Let C be the event of drawing a spade.
Number of outcomes favorable to event C=13
{There are 13 spade cards in a deck of 52 cards}
Total number of possible outcomes=52 {There are total of 52 cards}
P(C)=(Number of outcomes favorable to event C)/(Total number of possible outcomes)=13/52=1/4

 
(vi)
Let D be the event of drawing a queen of diamonds.
Number of outcomes favorable to event D=1 {There is 1 queen of diamonds in a deck of 52 cards}
Total number of possible outcomes=52 {There are total of 52 cards}
P(D)=(Number of outcomes favorable to event D)/(Total number of possible outcomes)=1/52


Probability ncert solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 15
15. Five cards- the ten, jack, queen, king and ace of diamonds are well shuffled with their face downwards. One card is then picked up at random.
(i) What is the probability that the card is the queen?
(ii) If, the queen is drawn and put aside, what is the probability that the second card picked up is (a) an ace? (b) a queen?



Solution:
(i)
There are five cards.
Let E be the event that card drawn is queen.
Total number of outcomes favorable to event E=1 (Because there is just 1 queen)
Total number of possible outcomes=5 (We have 5 cards)

P(E)=(Total number of possible outcomes favorable to event E)/Total number of possible outcomes=1/5


(ii)
Queen has already been drawn and put aside. Therefore, we now have just 4 cards left.


(a)
Let A be the event that card drawn is an ace.
Total number of outcomes favorable to Event A=1 (We have 1 ace out of 4 cards)
Total number of possible outcomes=4 (We have 4 cards left)
 
P(A)=(Total number of outcomes favorable to event A)/(Total number of possible outcomes)=1/4


(b)

Let B be the event that card drawn is queen.
Total number of outcomes favorable to Event B=0 (We have no queen left in 4 cards.)
Total number of possible outcomes=4 (We have 4 cards left)

P(B)=(Total number of outcomes favorable to event B)/(Total number of possible outcomes)=0/4=0

Probability ncert solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 16
16. 12 defective pens are accidentally mixed with 132 good ones. It is not possible to just look at a pen and tell whether or not it is defective. One pen is taken out at random from this lot. Determine the probability that the pen taken out is a good one.

 Solution:
 
Let E be the event that pen taken out is a good pen.
Number of outcomes favorable to event E=132 (There are 132 good pens)
Total number of possible outcomes=12+132=144 (There are total of 144 pens)
P(E)=(Number of outcomes favorable to event E)/(Total number of possible outcomes) =132/144=11/12
 
Probability ncert solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 17
17. (i) A lot of 20 bulbs contain 4 defective ones. One bulb is drawn at random from the lot. What is the probability that this bulb is defective?

(ii) Suppose the bulb drawn in (i) is not defective and is not replaced. Now one bulb is drawn at random from the rest. What is the probability that this bulb is not defective?


 
Solution
(i)
Let E be the event of drawing a defective bulb.

Total number of outcomes favorable to event E=4 (There are 4 defective bulbs)
Total number of possible outcomes=20 (There are total of 20 bulbs)

P(E)=(Total number of outcomes favorable to event E)/(Total number of possible outcomes) 
=4/20=1/5


(ii)
One non-defected bulb has been taken out already. Therefore, we now have just 19 bulbs out of which 4 are defective.
Let A be the event of drawing a non-defective bulb.

Total number of outcomes favorable to event A=19-4=15
(There are 15 non-defective bulbs out of 19 bulbs)

Total number of possible outcomes=19 (There are total of 19 bulbs)

P(A)=(Number of outcomes favorable to event A)/(Total number of possible outcomes) 
=15/19

Probability ncert solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 18
18. A box contains 90 discs which are numbered from 1 to 90. If one disc is drawn at random from the box, find the probability that it bears (i) a two-digit number (ii) a perfect square number (iii) a number divisible by 5

  
Solution:
(i)

Let E be the event of drawing a disc bearing two-digit number.
Number of possible outcomes favorable to event E=81
(There are 81 two digit numbers from 1 to 90)

Total number of possible outcomes=90 (There are 90 discs)

P(E)=(Number of possible outcomes favorable to event E)/(Total number of possible outcomes) 
=81/90=9/10

 
(ii)

Let A be the event of drawing a disc bearing a perfect square number.
The perfect squares from 1 to 90 are 1, 4, 9, 16, 25, 36, 49, 64 and 81.
Therefore, there are 9 perfect square numbers from 1 to 90.

Number of possible outcomes favorable to event A=9
(There are 9 perfect square numbers from 1 to 90)

Total number of possible outcomes=90 (There are total of 90 discs)

P(A)=(Number of possible outcomes favorable to event A)/(Total number of possible outcomes) 
=9/90=1/10


(iii)
Let B be the event of drawing a disc bearing a number divisible by 5.
The numbers divisible by 5 from numbers 1 to 90 are 5, 10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45, 50, 55, 60, 65, 70, 75, 80, 85 and 90.

Therefore, there are 18 numbers divisible by 5 from numbers 1 to 90.
Number of outcomes favorable to event B=18
(There are 18 numbers divisible by 5 from numbers 1 to 90)

Total number of possible outcomes=90 (There are total of 90 discs)

P(B)=(Number of possible outcomes favorable to event B)/(Total number of possible outcomes) 
=18/90=1/5


Probability ncert solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 19
19. A child has a die whose six faces show the letters A, B, C, D, E and A.
The die is thrown once. What is the probability of getting (i) A? (ii) D?

 
Solution

(i)
Let E be the event of getting A with a single throw of dice.
Number of possible outcomes favorable to event E=2
(There are 2 faces on a dice with A written on them)

Total number of possible outcomes=6 (There are 6 faces on a dice)

P(E)=(Number of outcomes favorable to event E)/(Total number of possible outcomes) 
=2/6=1/3

 
(ii)

Let F be the event of getting D with a single throw of dice.
Number of possible outcomes favorable to event F=1
(There is 1 face with letter D on it)
Total number of possible outcomes=6 (There are 6 faces on a dice)

P(F)=(Number of outcomes favorable to event F)/(Total number of possible outcomes) 
=1/6

Probability ncert solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 20
20. Suppose you drop a die at random on the rectangular region shown in fig. What is the probability that it will land inside the circle with diameter 1 m?

Solution:

Let E be the event that dice lands inside the circle.
Radius of circle =Diameter/2==1/2=0.5 m
Area of circle =π.r2=π.(0.5)2=π.(0.25) m2

Area of rectangle =length x breadth=3 x 2 =6 m2

P(E)=(Area of circle)/(Area of rectangle) =π.(0.25)/ 6=π/24


Probability ncert solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 21

21.  A lot consists of 144 balls pens of which 20 are defective and the others are good. Nuri will buy a pen if it is good, but will not buy if it is defective. The shopkeeper draws one pen at random and gives it to her. What is the probability that
(i) She will buy it?
(ii) She will not buy it?

Solution:
(i)
Let E be the event that she buys pen.

Number of outcomes favorable to Event E=144-20=124
(There are 124 good pens)
Total number of possible outcomes=144
(There are total of 144 pens)

P(E)=(Number of outcomes favorable to E)/(Total number of possible outcomes)
=124144=3136

(ii)
Let F be the event that she does not buy a pen.
Number of outcomes favorable to Event F=20
(There are 20 defective pens)
Total number of possible outcomes=144
(There are total of 144 pens)

P(F)=(Number of outcomes favorable to F)/(Total number of possible outcomes)
=20/144=5/36

Probability ncert solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 22

22.  Two dice, one blue and one grey are thrown at the same time. What is the probability of different sums that can appear on the top of different dice.
Also, a student argues that "there are 11 possible outcomes 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11 and 12. Therefore, each of them has a probability 1. Do you agree with this argument? Justify your answer.

Solution:
Sum equal to 2 can appear in just 1 way which is (1, 1)  (We have 1 appearing on both of the dice).
Sum equal to 3 can appear in 2 ways which are (1, 2) and (2, 1)
Sum equal to 4 can appear in 3 ways which are (1, 3), (3, 1) and (2, 2)
Sum equal to 5 can appear in 4 ways which are (2, 3), (3, 2), (1, 4) and (4, 1)
Sum equal to 6 can appear in 5 ways which are  (1, 5), (5, 1), (2, 4), (4, 2) and (3, 3)
Sum equal to 7 can appear in 6 ways which are (1, 6), (6, 1), (2, 5), (5, 2), (3, 4) and (4, 3)
Sum equal to 8 can appear in 5 ways which are (2, 6), (6, 2), (3, 5), (5, 3) and (4, 4)
Sum equal to 9 can appear in 4 ways which are (3, 6), (6, 3), (4, 5) and (5, 4)
Sum equal to 10 can appear in 3 ways which are (4, 6), (6, 4) and (5, 5)
Sum equal to 11 can appear in 2 ways which are (5, 6) and (6, 5)
Sum equal to 12 can appear in 1 way which is (6, 6)

Therefore, we can find probabilities of all the sums which can appear on the top of two dice.
Total number of possible outcomes =1+2+3+4+5+6+5+4+3+2+1=36


A student argues that "there are 11 possible outcomes 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11 and 12. Therefore, each of them has a probability 
1.
We do not agree with this argument because there are different number of possible outcomes for each sum. According to the above table, we can see that each sum has different probability.


Probability ncert solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 23

23.  A game consists of tossing a one rupee coin 3 times and noting its outcome each time. Hanif wins if all the tosses give the same result i.e, three heads or three tails, and loses otherwise. Calculate the probability that Hanif will lose the game.

Solution:
Let E be the event that Hanif loses the game.
The different possible outcomes are HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, TTH, THT, HTT and TTT.

Therefore, there are total of 8 different possible outcomes.
Number of possible outcomes favorable to event E=6
Total number of possible outcomes =8

P(E)=(Number of outcomes favorable to event E)/(Total number of possible outcomes)
=6/8=3/4

Probability ncert solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 24

24.   A die is thrown twice. What is the probability that

(i) 5 will not come up either time?            (ii) 5 will come up at least once?
[Hint: Throwing a die twice and throwing two dice simultaneously are treated as the same experiment]

Solution:
The different outcomes possible when throwing two dice are:
(1, 1), (1, 2), (1, 3), (1, 4), (1, 5), (1, 6)
(2, 1), (2, 2), (2, 3), (2, 4), (2, 5), (2, 6)
(3, 1), (3, 2), (3, 3), (3, 4), (3, 5), (3, 6)
(4, 1), (4, 2), (4, 3), (4, 4), (4, 5), (4, 6)
(5, 1), (5, 2), (5, 3), (5, 4), (5, 5), (5, 6)
(6, 1), (6, 2), (6, 3), (6, 4), (6, 5), (6, 6)

(i)
Let E be the event that 5 does not appear either time.
Number of outcomes favorable to event E=25
Total number of possible outcomes=36

P(E)=(Number of outcomes favorable to Event E)/(Total number of possible outcomes) =25/36

(ii)
Let F be the even that 5 appear at least once.
Number of outcomes favorable to event E=11
Total number of possible outcomes=36

P(F)=(Number of outcomes favorable to Event F)/(Total number of possible outcomes) =11/36

Probability ncert solutions Chapter 15 Exercise 15.1 Question 25

25.   Which of the following arguments are correct and which are not correct? Give reasons for your answer.

(i) If two coins are tossed simultaneously there are three possible outcomes- two heads, two tails or one of each. Therefore, for each of these outcomes, the probability is 1

(ii) If a die is thrown, there are two possible outcomes- an odd number or an even number. Therefore, the probability of getting an odd number is 1

Solution:
(i) Incorrect
If two coins are tossed simultaneously there are 4 possible outcomes.
HH           (We get heads on both the coins)
HT          (Heads on the first coin and tails on the second coin)
TH         (Tails on the first coin and heads on the second coin)
TT         (Tails on both the coins)

Therefore, Probability of each outcomes is equal to 1

(ii) Correct

With a single throw of a die, we have 6 possible outcomes.
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6.
There are 3 even numbers and 3 odd numbers from 1 to 6.

Therefore, the probability of getting an even or odd number is equal to 1








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